Description

This analysis provides a forecast of JASMY prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-23 0.008181 0.009671 0.011470 0.013839 0.016933 0.020920 0.026592
2025-03-30 0.006055 0.007714 0.009948 0.013290 0.018383 0.026277 0.040445
2025-04-06 0.004984 0.006657 0.009075 0.013023 0.019761 0.031855 0.058556
2025-04-13 0.004408 0.006117 0.008735 0.013343 0.022057 0.040100 0.089937
2025-04-20 0.004075 0.005853 0.008725 0.014156 0.025531 0.052985 0.152472
2025-04-27 0.003765 0.005560 0.008589 0.014677 0.028647 0.067694 0.258563
2025-05-04 0.003438 0.005185 0.008233 0.014657 0.030539 0.080992 0.414601
2025-05-11 0.003167 0.004864 0.007914 0.014622 0.032396 0.096489 0.698080
2025-05-18 0.002901 0.004517 0.007488 0.014245 0.033178 0.109230 1.125572
2025-05-25 0.002635 0.004143 0.006957 0.013511 0.032622 0.115858 1.632399
2025-06-01 0.002426 0.003850 0.006549 0.012986 0.032545 0.125441 2.626725
2025-06-08 0.002323 0.003742 0.006499 0.013329 0.035549 0.158430 8.440988
2025-06-15 0.002179 0.003558 0.006300 0.013342 0.037829 0.196754 56.556695
2025-06-22 0.002005 0.003304 0.005924 0.012816 0.037891 0.220670 1224.594678
2025-06-29 0.001873 0.003116 0.005667 0.012561 0.038995 0.261352 NaN
2025-07-06 0.001794 0.003025 0.005610 0.012866 0.042869 0.359048 NaN
2025-07-13 0.001751 0.003001 0.005699 0.013638 0.049851 0.582346 NaN
2025-07-20 0.001694 0.002941 0.005698 0.014133 0.056070 0.924571 NaN
2025-07-27 0.001614 0.002828 0.005552 0.014115 0.059353 1.297801 NaN
2025-08-03 0.001541 0.002722 0.005411 0.014081 0.062665 1.875202 NaN
2025-08-10 0.001460 0.002592 0.005194 0.013723 0.063450 2.409199 NaN
2025-08-17 0.001370 0.002437 0.004899 0.013025 0.061173 2.579882 NaN
2025-08-24 0.001295 0.002312 0.004669 0.012526 0.060212 2.995439 NaN